10.08.2012

This Happened to Jessica Ridgeway

Who took Jessica Ridgeway? In this earlier post, I did a brief profile of her disappearance and the elements currently surrounding it as known by the public. Since then it's been revealed that her father has a felony domestic assault charge against him but the victim of this assault isn't being revealed to the public. I want to clear up quickly that if the victim of the assault is the mother of the missing girl, then that would make it harder for him to win a custody dispute over the girl. This probably wouldn't make the girl's mother feel like she is losing the dispute, which in turn wouldn't give her much of a motive to harm or hide her own daughter. That lessens the likelihood that Jessica's mother is involved in her disappearance -- not that she was ever a suspect in the first place. (she wasn't, but I try to cover all bases!)

So who kidnapped this girl? Yes, I believe she was kidnapped. I genuinely believe that Jessica was abducted  while walking on her way to Chelsea Park in Westminster, Colorado. However, the details surrounding this abduction are what need to be  figured out and pieced together in order to figure who took this girl. Officials are searching thoroughly, but the more insight, the better.

In the article I linked in the first paragraph, it has been established that the park is approximately 75 feet from the home of Jessica Ridgeway. So that means the park is visible from the child's home. Seventy-five feet can be walked by a child in about 5 to 10 minutes depending on whether the kid is walking or jogging/running. So this is a very short window of time for the girl to go missing.

The Google Maps image of the neighborhood and the placement shown by the address of the missing girl indicate that Ridgeway lived sort of outside of a neighborhood cluster of homes nearest the park. Her home faces at least a dozen other homes, but isn't in the middle of an area where there would be a lot of neighborly witnesses. This would probably explain an abduction with no witnesses. With the girl walking to school at 8:30 a.m., and an abduction happening prior to the park, she wouldn't really be in easy sight of all of those neighbors, would she?

The person who would pull off a forceful abduction of this girl was probably not on foot. At 8:30 to 8:40 a.m., in this area, there would be children walking around and other activity that wouldn't allot for this activity without it being widely witnessed and reported on in the media. Jessica Ridgeway would have kicked and screamed for help knowing that her friends were just a few feet away waiting for her in the park. They would have alerted an adult and the abduction would have gone a lot differently than things are being reported currently.

So, the person who kidnapped Jessica had to have had a vehicle of some sort.

Statistically speaking, most child abductions or other crimes against children are perpetrated by someone the victim is familiar with; i.e., a relative or family friend, or a neighbor, etc, etc, etc,. In this disappearance it would make a great load of sense to think that the person responsible is someone who knows Jessica or has seen her before and is familiar with her daily routine. As has been stated before, walking to the park and then to the school was something the missing girl had done every morning.

When a solid routine is adopted by someone who is in public often, as this girl was, it's easy for a nearby predator to keep an eye on a potential victim and plan his or her attack. The idea that this could be a neighbor makes all-the-more frightening, because that would eliminate the possibility of a struggle during a daytime abduction. That would be the only way it would make sense for the abductor to not have a vehicle. She had to have trusted the person who took her unless they happened to be driving by, saw her and then forcefully snatched her up. That is also a possibility. 

(theory) This is what happened to Jessica Ridgeway:

The person who kidnapped the 10-year-old girl most likely took her somewhere he knew he'd have no disturbances. It could either be his home or in his vehicle. I'm using male pronounces because statistically men commit these crimes. However, women are known to commit them as well so it is always a possibility. The perpetrator sexually assaulted the girl, as that is what these abductions are fore on a statistical scale; most child abductions of girls and women are for sexual reasons  -- of many varieties.

A predator knows whether or not he's going to let a victim live usually before he even commits the crime. However, there are sometimes circumstances which drive a person to kill that didn't otherwise plan on it. The immediate alert that sparked national attention could have pushed the kidnapper to rid himself of evidence of the crime -- including the victim. Since she hasn't been found and it has been 72 hours, her chances of being alive are statistically lower and lower with each minute that passes.

The perpetrator most likely waited until several hours after the alert to drive the evidence (i.e. her bag and water bottle) to the location in Superior where they were later discovered. He doesn't want to be caught for what he did and he doesn't want police poking around the neighborhood and putting it on lockdown while searching for the missing girl. Seeing as though the items were five to 15 miles away, he had a ride to deliver them. So this further indicates that the abductor would have a vehicle of some sort. Is there any surveillance in the neighborhood where the girl vanished? Some cameras would really come in handy right now!

Hopefully the crime lab can pick up forensic evidence from these items.


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